Skip to content

Afghanistan: The Karzai-Medvedev Russian Roulette


Karzai & Medvedev

Afghan President Hamid Karzai’s recent trip to Moscow marks an unprecedented state level rendezvous by an Afghanistan Head of State. The first since the Soviet backed President Najibullah’s trip; whose term ended shortly after the Soviet Union withdrew its forces from Afghanistan.

It is a life and death game for Hamid Karzai akin to spinning the cylinder of a new Russian revolver, aiming for a cajolement by a western backed Afghan state with the Russian federation— once its foe— and to tie the knot for a new marriage as if there was always a sweet serenity in their past history. However, in this tweaked “Great Game” of the 21st Century for this Central Asian state, Russian president Dmitry Medvedev has already mastered his single bullet roulette play by skillfully defeating the Karzai impact. In contrast and seemingly with pitiful and insincere solicitations towards the Russians, the odds for Karzai’s Afghanistan surviving are slim and thus worthy of undergoing some litmus tests that could result in great success or utter failure for Afghanistan.

Friction with the West and the Immense Hurdles

Is Karzai’s dangerous game-play prompted by the political climate between Washington and Kabul getting strained and spiraling deeper into a black hole of emptiness? Of course, the insurgency has spiked, the Taliban are ignoring efforts of reconciliation with the rigged-ridden and long-suffering Afghan government; there is rampant corruption, the U.S. is unsure of troop withdrawal by 2014, there is a lack of Pashtun participation in Afghan National Army and Police, a tribal imbalance, drug trafficking, a fragmented NATO alliance, regional actors muddling in Afghanistan’s state of affairs, an Afghan constitutional crisis, no Georg W Bush style video conferencing between Obama and Karzai, and many other factors that are causing ill progress scenarios and ultimately friction between the Karzai government and the West.

If Obama’s special envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan, the late, Richard Holbrook’s funeral ceremony resembled a political barometer of relations between Washington and Kabul, where Pakistan’s President Asif Ali Zardari participated and Hamid Karzai did not show up in Washington last month, then the questions surrounding this new Moscow stopover by Karzai may be indications that there are clearly new ideas being brewed.

Afghan Displeasure

Is it time to change the political tide back towards a dangerous old friend and subsequent foe of the 80’s Afghanistan occupation, only, now under new management, but still attached to cold war era comrades —Vladimir Putin and Dimitry Medvedev? It remains to be seen as to how much the Afghan populace could absorb of this love hate relationship between Kabul and Moscow. Because, one must bear in mind, most Afghans cannot distinguish between the old Soviet communist mentality and the new democratic Russia. To them, they are the same tyrants that killed over 2 million Afghans during their occupation of Afghanistan. And therefore, the Soviet war wounds are still fresh in the minds of many Afghans, and efforts at welding a positive common consensus towards Russia amongst the Afghans may not serve Karzai very well.

A negative test result was made apparent when a recent joint U.S-Russian counternarcotics raid in Eastern Afghanistan raised eyebrows in Kabul palace and amongst the Afghan populace, reminding them of personal pain and suffering at the hands of Russians in echoes of Soviet occupation of Afghanistan.

Mr. Karzai may think that he has an opportunity to use one against the other (U.S. verses Russia) for his elongated power grab, and personally benefit in a way that may not serve any good for the average Afghans.

Russian Interests

Russians are concern about two main threats emanating from Afghanistan; drugs and terrorism, and it is clear that these problems must be dealt with, at least at the Afghan border. If Russia is willing to support [Afghanistan] in any possible way, then it should not be direct military involvement in Afghanistan. No Russian solder should ever be on Afghan soil.

However, there is also the direct possibility that any Russian involvement in Afghanistan could spark a terrorist response akin to Chechnya and the Caucuses events inside Russian territories via Afghanistan, and consequently tempt the Russians to engage once again in some kind of militarily operations inside Afghanistan; clandestine or otherwise if the U.S. completely withdraws.

Russia also has the TAPI (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) natural-gas pipeline in its radar; wanting to gorge the lion’s share of any future worldwide energy demand benefits from it, which may cause friction with other interests in the West where Karzai has a fiduciary obligation to his old employer UNOCAL and other Western energy companies.

Hamid Karzai, unlike a strong and true Afghan statesman is apparently but stealthily in his cyclical emotional tantrum. His crony and gratuity tipper Ahmadinejad has also engaged in a love-hate relationship with Karzai. He stepped directly on top of Karzai’s cronyism, showed his upper hand and used a dose of power play by halting thousands of oil tankers en route to Afghanistan for a month, consequently depriving millions of Afghans of heat in the frigid Hindu-Kush country.

Out of desperation, Karzai made the move to call upon Russian President Medvedev, and opened up a dialogue emphasizing Russian’s role in Afghanistan, including counternarcotics cooperation. As Western powers ready themselves for an exit, the relationship with Russia is going to be a key factor in the future. However, the looming danger is that, when the gun barrel is loaded with the one bullet and it is Hamid Karzai’s turn to fire, he won’t be able to fake his way out of the consequences and could spark a second round of Russian versus Afghan strife and conflict.

Khalil Nouri is the cofounder of New World Strategies Coalition Inc, a native think tank for a nonmilitary solution studies for Afghanistan, and a member of Afghanistan Study Group

View the original article at Veterans Today

Related Posts with Thumbnails

Posted in Politics, War on terror.

Tagged with , , , , .

0 Responses

Stay in touch with the conversation, subscribe to the RSS feed for comments on this post.

Some HTML is OK

or, reply to this post via trackback.

Support #altnews & keep Dark Politricks alive

Remember I told you over 5 years ago that they would be trying to shut down sites and YouTube channels that are not promoting the "Official" view. Well it's all happening now big time. Peoples Channels get no money from YouTube any more and Google is being fishy with their AdSense giving money for some clicks but not others. The time is here, it's not "Obama's Internet Cut Off Switch" it's "Trumps Sell Everyones Internet Dirty Laundry Garage Sale". This site must be on some list at GCHQ/NSA as my AdSense revenue which I rely on has gone down by a third. Either people are not helping out by visiting sponsors sanymore or I am being blackballed like many YouTube sites.

It's not just Google/YouTube defunding altenative chanels (mine was shut), but Facebook is also removing content, shutting pages, profiles and groups and removing funds from #altnews that way as well. I was recently kicked off FB and had a page "unpublished" with no reason given. If you don't know already all Facebooks Private Messages and Secret Groups are still analysed and checked for words related to drugs, sex, war etc against their own TOS. Personally I know there are undercover Irish police moving from group to group cloning peoples accounts and getting people booted. Worse than that I know some people in prison now for the content they had on their "secret private group". Use Telegrams secret chat mode to chat on, or if you prefer Wickr. If you really need to, buy a dumb phone with nothing for the NSA/GCHQ to hack into. Ensure it has no GPS tracking on it and that the battery can be removed. These are usually built for old people to get used to technology storing only a set of numbers to call. However they have no games, applications to install or other ways people can exploit the computer tracking device you carry round with you most of the day - your smart phone. If you are paranoid ensure that you can remove the battery when travelling around and do so to prevent GPS tracking or phone mast triangulation. Even with your phone in Flight mode or turned off, it can be turned on remotely and any features like front or back cameras, microphones and keylogging software can be installed to trace you.

So if your not supporting this site already which brings you news from the Left to the Right (really the same war mongering rubbish) then I could REALLY do with some..

Even if it's just £5 or tick the monthly subscription box and throw a few pound my way each month, it will be much appreciated. Read on to find out why.


Any support to keep this site would be appreciated. You could set up a monthly subscription for £2 like some people do or you could pay a one off donation as a gift.
I am not asking you to pay me for other people's articles, this is a clearing house as well as place to put my own views out into the world. I am asking for help to write more articles like my recent false flag gas attack to get WWIII started in Syria, and Trump away from Putin. Hopefully a few missiles won't mean a WikiLeaks release of that infamous video Trump apparently made in a Russian bedroom with Prostitutes. Also please note that this article was written just an hour after the papers came out, and I always come back and update them.

If you want to read JUST my own articles then use the top menu I have written hundreds of articles for this site and I host numerous amounts of material that has seen me the victim of hacks, DOS plus I have been kicked off multiple hosting companies, free blogging sites, and I have even had threats to cease and desist from the US armed forces. Therefore I have to pay for my own server which is NOT cheap. The more people who read these article on this site the more it costs me so some support would be much appreciated.

I have backups of removed reports shown, then taken down after pressure, that show collusion between nations and the media. I have the full redacted 28/29 pages from the 9.11 commission on the site which seems to have been forgotten about as we help Saudi Arabia bomb Yemeni kids hiding in the rubble with white phosphorus, an illegal weaapon. One that the Israeli's even used when they bombed the UN compound in Gaza during Operation Cast Lead. We complain about Syrian troops (US Controlled ISIS) using chemical weapons to kill "beautiful babies". I suppose all those babies we kill in Iraq, Yemen, Somalia and Syria are just not beautiful enough for Trumps beautiful baby ratio. Plus we kill about 100 times as many as ISIS or the Syrian army have managed by a factor of about 1000 to 1.

I also have a backup of the FOX News series that looked into Israeli connections to 9.11. Obviously FOX removed that as soon as AIPAC, ADL and the rest of the Hasbra brigade protested.

I also have a copy of the the original Liberal Democrats Freedom Bill which was quickly and quietly removed from their site once they enacted and replaced with some watered down rubbish instead once they got into power. No change to police tactics, protesting or our unfair extradition treaty with the USA but we did get a stop to being clamped on private land instead of the mny great ideas in the original.

So ANY support to keep this site running would be much appreciated! I don't have much money after leaving my job and it is a choice between shutting the server or selling the domain or paying a lot of money just so I can show this material.

Material like the FSB Bombings that put Putin in power or the Google no 1 spot when you search for protecting yourself from UK Police with "how to give a no comment interview". If you see any adverts that interest you then please visit them as it helps me without you even needing to give me any money. A few clicks per visit is all it takes to help keep the servers running and tag any tweets with alternative news from the mainstream with the #altnews hashtag I created to keep it alive!

However if you don't want to use the very obvious and cost free ways (to you) to help the site and keep me writing for it then please consider making a small donation. Especially if you have a few quid sitting in your PayPal account doing nothing useful. Why not do a monthly subscription for less money instead. Will you really notice £5 a month?