Skip to content


Libya – Is Regime Change the End Game?

Libyan Rebels Counter Attack

The Coalition and Gaddafi and Sons are holding their cards close to their vests.

The diplomatic process of bringing everyone on board the UN resolution dragged the process out to where France had to jump the gun on the initial airstrikes because Gaddafi had launched an armored attack on Bengahzi last Saturday morning.

The attack was thrown back and the retreating columns destroyed by the French planes. But we also observed that the defecting Benghazi brigade was nowhere to be seen on video clips of that fateful Saturday morning.

On Feb. 25 th Veterans Today staked our flag in the sand that Gaddafi and Sons required a decapitation strike on their command and control centers, and their Air Force neutralized. If they were allowed time to deploy their heavy weapons and imported mercenaries, thousands of civilian Libyans would be killed.  I followed up with a ‘ VT was right’ article on  March 11th,  after Tripoli had launched it’s counter attack and the diplomats dithered.

Retribution

A stalemate then ensue where Gaddafi tested the resolve of the coalition to absorb his claims of high civilian casualties from the No Fly Zone strikes, and his Abjadiya troops fought off the advancing rebels for over a week with their heavy weapons, technically one armed force against another.

During this time Tripoli claimed to be under the cease fire while attacking Zinwad in the west and Misrata in the east, the big port city, while some of the UN and NATO parties reacted to Gaddafi’s claims of civilian causalities. Of course the ones he was inflicting were of no concern to them.

But then on March 26th, my article on the British Tornado Brimestone missile anti-armor strikes on Abjabiya broke the stalemate by making the Tripoli attacking forces fair game for coalition air-strikes.

Gaddafi troops pulled out of Adjabiya when their heavy weapons were destroyed in one day of concentrated strikes.

During the next two days, Brega and Ras Lanuf were abandoned with Gaddafi’s people leaving their weapons and ammo behind, along with their uniforms. They no longer wanted to deal with the Brimestones from the sky.

Brimestone Anti-Tank Missles

As I type Misrata is still under attack with Gaddafi forces inside the city with armor, betting that the Coalition planes will not attack them there. We have reports today that Gaddafi supporters from Sirte are already retreating toward Benghazi. Tripoli claims the Coalition has ‘sided with the rebels by providing them air support’.  Somehow they cannot connect the dots that his forces still attacking civilians areas with heavy weapons puts his forces in a shooting gallery.

The next big fight will be for Misrata, which could turn into a big city street fighting mess. The rebels still have not anti-tank weapons that we know of.  With Monday night set up for the Obama speech, I had my suspicions that our brass told him they would have Gadaffi’s forces pushed back to Tripoli pretty much by then, to set the stage for an American leadership withdrawal, and move the resolution into the Nato and political arena.

The rebels will control most of the oil production and export facilities, and hope-fulling Misrata which is the main container shipping port. Tripoli will be cut off…the kind of situation you want to encourage his own folks to do their own regime change. They will know the clock is ticking.

Can Gaddafi Survive?

Gaddafi is a wild card though. He can bluff with a high civilian casualty fight for Tripoli, which he knows the Allies don’t want. Defending himself on war crimes charges in the Hague is not on his to do list. We hear today that such proposals are already being floated.  Whether his entourage will want to be left holding the bag while he leaves remains to be seen.

Qatar, the only Arab country to put any planes into the No Fly Zone force, miraculously is going to be handling the marketing of the National Council oil exports. They claim these can increase from 100 to 300,000 barrels a day in a week or so. Cash they will have.  So they will be able to play a waiting game while Gaddafi tries to wiggle out. But they are on record that they will not negotiate with Gaddafi and Sons.

Tripoli under cover agents in Benghazi have been assassinating prominent rebels for weeks now so there is lots of bad blood. And when the media gets into cities like Misrata, Zinwad and eventually Zawiya, the horror stories that are going to come out of those besieged people are going to inflame passions even more.

Will Tripoli Become a Battlefield?

The refugee pressure on Italy will have the Europeans wanting to avoid a million refugee fleeing north on anything that will float, including anyone from Africa that can make it to the coast. Tunisians are still taking advantage of the situation to leave, despite the successful and generally violence free revolution. But who knows, the rebels might offer them safe haven in their areas, and a cut of the oil revenues to blunt the expected exodus.

So I formally bet you all that Obama uses his speech as successful swan song for the American leadership up to this point where the heavy lifting was done….and turn resolution (and ownership) of the political or military outcome from this point to the other parties. It is their backyard. They buy most all of the Libyan oil. The refugees are their problem, etc.  Right now, after only a week of the No Fly Zone, it has been a cheap deal for the coalition.

Will Gaddafi play a game of chicken with them now, effectively holding the possible carnage of Tripoli as his ace in the hole, ie., “if I don’t get out of here in one piece, neither will you politically.”

He obviously is going to want an immunity pass for he and his sons. Or will his lieutenants trade them to the Allies for their own free pass?  Expect some heavy wheeling and dealing.  If I were a mercenary, I would be wanting to get paid at the end of each day.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Jim W. Dean is Managing Editor and Staff Writer at Veterans Today. Read Full Bio.


View the original article at Veterans Today

Related Posts with Thumbnails

Posted in Middle East.

Tagged with , , , .


0 Responses

Stay in touch with the conversation, subscribe to the RSS feed for comments on this post.



Some HTML is OK

or, reply to this post via trackback.

Support #altnews & keep Dark Politricks alive

Remember I told you over 5 years ago that they would be trying to shut down sites and YouTube channels that are not promoting the "Official" view. Well it's all happening now big time. Peoples Channels get no money from YouTube any more and Google is being fishy with their AdSense giving money for some clicks but not others. The time is here, it's not "Obama's Internet Cut Off Switch" it's "Trumps Sell Everyones Internet Dirty Laundry Garage Sale". This site must be on some list at GCHQ/NSA as my AdSense revenue which I rely on has gone down by a third. Either people are not helping out by visiting sponsors sanymore or I am being blackballed like many YouTube sites.

It's not just Google/YouTube defunding altenative chanels (mine was shut), but Facebook is also removing content, shutting pages, profiles and groups and removing funds from #altnews that way as well. I was recently kicked off FB and had a page "unpublished" with no reason given. If you don't know already all Facebooks Private Messages and Secret Groups are still analysed and checked for words related to drugs, sex, war etc against their own TOS. Personally I know there are undercover Irish police moving from group to group cloning peoples accounts and getting people booted. Worse than that I know some people in prison now for the content they had on their "secret private group". Use Telegrams secret chat mode to chat on, or if you prefer Wickr. If you really need to, buy a dumb phone with nothing for the NSA/GCHQ to hack into. Ensure it has no GPS tracking on it and that the battery can be removed. These are usually built for old people to get used to technology storing only a set of numbers to call. However they have no games, applications to install or other ways people can exploit the computer tracking device you carry round with you most of the day - your smart phone. If you are paranoid ensure that you can remove the battery when travelling around and do so to prevent GPS tracking or phone mast triangulation. Even with your phone in Flight mode or turned off, it can be turned on remotely and any features like front or back cameras, microphones and keylogging software can be installed to trace you.

So if your not supporting this site already which brings you news from the Left to the Right (really the same war mongering rubbish) then I could REALLY do with some..

Even if it's just £5 or tick the monthly subscription box and throw a few pound my way each month, it will be much appreciated. Read on to find out why.

Why?

Any support to keep this site would be appreciated. You could set up a monthly subscription for £2 like some people do or you could pay a one off donation as a gift.
I am not asking you to pay me for other people's articles, this is a clearing house as well as place to put my own views out into the world. I am asking for help to write more articles like my recent false flag gas attack to get WWIII started in Syria, and Trump away from Putin. Hopefully a few missiles won't mean a WikiLeaks release of that infamous video Trump apparently made in a Russian bedroom with Prostitutes. Also please note that this article was written just an hour after the papers came out, and I always come back and update them.

If you want to read JUST my own articles then use the top menu I have written hundreds of articles for this site and I host numerous amounts of material that has seen me the victim of hacks, DOS plus I have been kicked off multiple hosting companies, free blogging sites, and I have even had threats to cease and desist from the US armed forces. Therefore I have to pay for my own server which is NOT cheap. The more people who read these article on this site the more it costs me so some support would be much appreciated.

I have backups of removed reports shown, then taken down after pressure, that show collusion between nations and the media. I have the full redacted 28/29 pages from the 9.11 commission on the site which seems to have been forgotten about as we help Saudi Arabia bomb Yemeni kids hiding in the rubble with white phosphorus, an illegal weaapon. One that the Israeli's even used when they bombed the UN compound in Gaza during Operation Cast Lead. We complain about Syrian troops (US Controlled ISIS) using chemical weapons to kill "beautiful babies". I suppose all those babies we kill in Iraq, Yemen, Somalia and Syria are just not beautiful enough for Trumps beautiful baby ratio. Plus we kill about 100 times as many as ISIS or the Syrian army have managed by a factor of about 1000 to 1.

I also have a backup of the FOX News series that looked into Israeli connections to 9.11. Obviously FOX removed that as soon as AIPAC, ADL and the rest of the Hasbra brigade protested.

I also have a copy of the the original Liberal Democrats Freedom Bill which was quickly and quietly removed from their site once they enacted and replaced with some watered down rubbish instead once they got into power. No change to police tactics, protesting or our unfair extradition treaty with the USA but we did get a stop to being clamped on private land instead of the mny great ideas in the original.

So ANY support to keep this site running would be much appreciated! I don't have much money after leaving my job and it is a choice between shutting the server or selling the domain or paying a lot of money just so I can show this material.

Material like the FSB Bombings that put Putin in power or the Google no 1 spot when you search for protecting yourself from UK Police with "how to give a no comment interview". If you see any adverts that interest you then please visit them as it helps me without you even needing to give me any money. A few clicks per visit is all it takes to help keep the servers running and tag any tweets with alternative news from the mainstream with the #altnews hashtag I created to keep it alive!

However if you don't want to use the very obvious and cost free ways (to you) to help the site and keep me writing for it then please consider making a small donation. Especially if you have a few quid sitting in your PayPal account doing nothing useful. Why not do a monthly subscription for less money instead. Will you really notice £5 a month?



css.php